ԻՐԱԶԵԿ ՔԱՂԱՔԱՑԻՆԵՐԻ ՄԻԱՎՈՐՈՒՄ•UNION OF INFORMED CITIZENS•СОЮЗ ИНФОРМИРОВАННЫХ ГРАЖДАН
Fact Investigation Platform
Նվիրաբերել
ՏԵՂԵԿԱՑՆԵԼ ԿԵՂԾԻՔԻ ՄԱՍԻՆ
Donate
REPORT DISINFORMATION
Поддержать
СООБЩИТЬ О ДЕЗИНФОРМАЦИИ
  • FACTOMETER
    • FALSE
    • MOSTLY FALSE
    • WITHOUT VERDICT
    • MOSTLY TRUE
    • TRUE
    • FAKE
    • MANIPULATIVE
  • Investigative
  • Data journalism
  • VIdeos
  • All
  • enen
    • Русский (ru)ру
    • Հայերեն (hy)հյ
Արդյունքներ չեն գտնվել
Դիտել բոլոր արդյունքները
FIP.AM
  • FACTOMETER
    • FALSE
    • MOSTLY FALSE
    • WITHOUT VERDICT
    • MOSTLY TRUE
    • TRUE
    • FAKE
    • MANIPULATIVE
  • Investigative
  • Data journalism
  • VIdeos
  • All
  • enen
    • Русский (ru)ру
    • Հայերեն (hy)հյ
Արդյունքներ չեն գտնվել
Դիտել բոլոր արդյունքները
ԻՐԱԶԵԿՔԱՂԱՔԱՑԻՆԵՐԻՄԻԱՎՈՐՈՒՄ
FIP.AM
Արդյունքներ չեն գտնվել
Դիտել բոլոր արդյունքները
Donate
Գլխավոր Official

Sargsyan’s Economic Promises vs. Reality

20:42, 20 May, 2017

During the first session of the newly-elected National Assembly, RA President Serzh Sargsyan had an extensive speech introducing the vision for long-term development of Armenia. In his speech, he also addressed a number of main indicators, namely, the target values envisaged for the year 2040.

Unfortunately, many of those indicators are not only too ambitious, but also too far from reality.

Economic Growth

In the economy-related part of his speech, Sargsyan noted that it is envisaged to ensure an average of 5% annual economic growth during 2016-2040, thus turning the current GDP rate from 10.5 billion USD to 60 billion USD.

First of all, it is worth noting that you need to provide 7.5%, rather than 5% annual economic growth in order to ensure more than 5.5 times higher GDP rate. In order to understand the unreality of this economic growth rate, it is sufficient to note that the 2016 economic growth formed 7.73% in India, 6.37% in China and 1.6% in the USA. On the other hand, the year 2016 saw an economic growth of only 0.2% in Armenia, while the International Monetary Fund predicts economic growth of 2.9% for 2017 and 2018. And this number is quite far from the aforementioned values.

Poverty

In continuation of his speech, Sargsyan noted that it is envisaged to reduce the poverty rate in Armenia to at least 18% during the coming five years, and up to 8% till 2040.

Statistical data show that under equivalence to the upper threshold of poverty (41.698 AMD) the poverty rate in Armenia formed 29.8% in 2015. This means that about 900 thousand people in Armenia are poor, among which 300 thousand are very poor, and 60 thousand are extremely poor. Moreover, if we equalize the poverty threshold with the minimum consumer basket value (49 thousand AMD), we will see that in reality the number of poor people in our republic exceeds 1 million.

In such conditions, continuous growth of the income of the population needs to be ensured for targeted poverty reduction. But the problem is that income distribution in Armenia will be highly unequal even under rapid economic growth. An evidence of the aforementioned claim is that the Gini index has considerable increased compared to 2008, reaching 0.374 from 0.339.

Emigration

Another part of Sargsyan’s speech was dedicated to the demographic situation in Armenia. According to the President, it is possible to raise the population number to 4 million through halting immigration, increasing birth rate and lengthening life expectancy.

However, the statistical data reflecting the demographic situation outline quite different prospects. Compared to 2015, the absolute number of births dropped by more than 10% in the first quarter of 2017, reaching 8534 from 9400. Conversely, deaths have increased by about 4%. As a result, the rate of natural increase has declined by about 70% in the first quarter of 2017 compared to 2015, reaching 497 only.

Not to mention the growing scale of migration… In 2016, the number of people who left the republic exceeded that of the people who entered the country by 49 thousand, and this indicator exceeds the one of the previous year by 11%. It should also be noted that already 16 thousand people have left Armenian territory during the first quarter of 2017.

Taking into account the situation in economic and social-demographic directions, it is not clear what relation the target indicators have to reality and how they will be ensured.

  • Total: 0
  • 0
  • 0
Թեգեր` economyEmigrationNational AssemblyPovertySerzh SargsyanбедностьНациональное собраниерост экономикиэкономикаэкономика РАЭкономический ростЭмиграцияԱԺԱԺ ելույթաղքատությունարտագաղթՀՀ տնտեսությունտնտեսական աճտնտեսություն

Հարակից հոդվածներ

Armenians go, foreigners come: Migration infographic for recent years
Investigative

Armenians go, foreigners come: Migration infographic for recent years

12:48, 6 Apr, 2023

Following April 2018, the government has often announced that emigration has turned into immigration due to the revolution. One such...

Thousands of Individuals Entrepreneurs and LLCs, Record Inflow of Remittances: What Economic Impact did the 42,176 Russians who Relocated to Armenia make?
Investigative

Thousands of Individuals Entrepreneurs and LLCs, Record Inflow of Remittances: What Economic Impact did the 42,176 Russians who Relocated to Armenia make?

13:30, 27 Oct, 2022

Speaking to CivilNet on October 6, Minister of Economy Vahan Kerobyan, referring to the sharp increase in the number of...

Former presidents are right․ The rate of emigration has increased
Mostly true

Former presidents are right․ The rate of emigration has increased

17:44, 18 Jun, 2021

During the pre-election period, political forces and figures often talk about the difficult social situation and safety issues in Armenia,...

Pashinyan’s inspiring promises and the reality three years later
Investigative

Pashinyan’s inspiring promises and the reality three years later

11:35, 8 May, 2021

On March 31, 2018, the leader of the "Yelk" faction of the National Assembly Nikol Pashinyan started a march protesting...

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Հարակից հոդվածներ

Armenians go, foreigners come: Migration infographic for recent years
Investigative

Armenians go, foreigners come: Migration infographic for recent years

12:48, 6 Apr, 2023

Following April 2018, the government has often announced that emigration has turned into immigration due to the revolution. One such...

Thousands of Individuals Entrepreneurs and LLCs, Record Inflow of Remittances: What Economic Impact did the 42,176 Russians who Relocated to Armenia make?
Investigative

Thousands of Individuals Entrepreneurs and LLCs, Record Inflow of Remittances: What Economic Impact did the 42,176 Russians who Relocated to Armenia make?

13:30, 27 Oct, 2022

Speaking to CivilNet on October 6, Minister of Economy Vahan Kerobyan, referring to the sharp increase in the number of...

Former presidents are right․ The rate of emigration has increased
Mostly true

Former presidents are right․ The rate of emigration has increased

17:44, 18 Jun, 2021

During the pre-election period, political forces and figures often talk about the difficult social situation and safety issues in Armenia,...

Pashinyan’s inspiring promises and the reality three years later
Investigative

Pashinyan’s inspiring promises and the reality three years later

11:35, 8 May, 2021

On March 31, 2018, the leader of the "Yelk" faction of the National Assembly Nikol Pashinyan started a march protesting...

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

FIP.AM

  • About Us
  • Methodology
  • Corrections and Complaints policy
  • Contact us

Partners

Membership

IFCN Signatory Badge




Copyright © 2025 Union of Informed Citizens

Արդյունքներ չեն գտնվել
Դիտել բոլոր արդյունքները
  • FACTOMETER
    • FALSE
    • MOSTLY FALSE
    • WITHOUT VERDICT
    • MOSTLY TRUE
    • TRUE
    • FAKE
    • MANIPULATIVE
  • Investigative
  • Data journalism
  • VIdeos
  • All
  • Հայերեն (hy)
  • English (en)
  • Русский (ru)

Copyright © 2025 Union of Informed Citizens